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Is the CDC LYING about COVID DEATH numbers?

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Is the CDC LYING about COVID DEATH numbers?

Dr. Christy weighs in on the recent statement that the CDC is overstating the COVID death numbers - and the claim that only 6% of the total deaths are actually due to COVID-19.
References:
death certificate:
Data on Excess Deaths:
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That CDC 6% COVID Death Rate, Explained

The internet's been lit up regarding recent COVID-19 death statistics from CDC. Here's what they actually show.

Links, transcript, and more at

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The Truth About the U.S. COVID-19 Death Count

“Extra’s” Billy Bush spoke with Dr. Jennifer Ashton, who shared her take on the COVID-19 death rates.

Ashton said, “Right now in the U.S., the death count… are only confirmed COVID-19 deaths. It does not take into account people who may have been in the hospital for weeks, were never diagnosed or tested or confirmed to have COVID-19.”

She added, “We won’t have an accurate denominator until we have estimates or widespread testing of people to be able to see how many people are truly affected.”
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Dr. Fauci debunks theory of low CDC Covid-19 death toll: U.S. has over 183,000 Covid-19 death

White House coronavirus advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci confirmed on Tuesday that more than 180,000 people in the U.S. have died from Covid-19. Fauci's comments come after some have claimed a new CDC update indicates only 6 percent of the nation's total reported Covid-19 deaths were actually from the virus, and the remaining percent died of other serious illnesses. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO:

White House coronavirus advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci debunked online theories promoted by President Donald Trump that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has changed its guidance for tallying coronavirus deaths, showing a fraction of total Covid-19 fatalities.

On Sunday, Twitter removed a post retweeted by Trump that claimed the CDC had “quietly” updated its guidance to indicate only 6% of the country’s coronavirus death toll — roughly 9,000 deaths — was actually caused by the virus, according to a CNN report. The tweet said the remaining 94% had “other serious illnesses.”

Fauci told the ABC program “Good Morning America” on Tuesday that the CDC guidance, last updated on Aug. 26, indicates that of the people who have died from the virus, “a certain percentage of them had nothing else but just Covid.” However, people with underlying illnesses also die from Covid-19, he said.

“That does not mean that someone who has hypertension or diabetes who dies of Covid didn’t die of Covid-19. They did,” Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told the program. “So the numbers you’ve been hearing -- there are 180,000-plus deaths -- are real deaths from Covid-19. Let (there) not be any confusion about that.”

“It’s not 9,000 deaths from Covid-19, it’s 180-plus-thousand deaths,” Fauci said.

The CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics told CNBC in a statement that death certificates list all possible causes or conditions that lead to a person’s death, and there may be more than one listed.

There were more than 161,300 death certificates that listed Covid-19 among the possible causes of death as of Aug. 22, according to NCHS. About 6% of the certificates that mention Covid-19 list it as the sole cause on the death certificate. The remaining 94% included other causes alongside Covid-19.

The CDC, however, considers the underlying cause of death as “the condition that began the chain of events that ultimately led to the person’s death,” and in 92% of all deaths that mention Covid-19, the virus was listed as the underlying cause of death, Bob Anderson, lead mortality statistician at NCHS, said in a statement.

“These data are consistent with CDC guidance that those with underlying medical conditions are at greater risk for severe illness and death from Covid-19,” Anderson said.

He said the number of reported deaths, along with other underlying conditions by age group, does “not represent new information as NCHS has been publishing this same information since the outset when we began posting data on COVID-19 deaths on our web site.”

At least 183,600 people have died from Covid-19 in the U.S. as of Tuesday, accounting for just more than 21% of the world’s total reported deaths, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

People who are older are at greater risk for serious illness, and possibly death, from Covid-19. The CDC reports that 8 out of 10 Covid-19 deaths reported in the U.S. are people over 65 years old.

The risk is also higher for anyone at any age with underlying health conditions, the CDC says. According to the CDC report, thousands of people of all ages with diabetes and hypertension, among other diseases, have died from Covid-19.

Dr. Deborah Birx, White House coronavirus response coordinator, has previously said that the coronavirus poses a greater risk to those with underlying health conditions, such as diabetes and significant obesity, which are seen in every age group.

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Certifying Deaths to Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19)

Death Reporting Guidance for Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) from the National Vital Statistics System.

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CDC reveals just 6% of COVID-19 related deaths in US list that as only cause

Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reveals that just 6% of COVID-19 related deaths in the United States listed the virus as the person’s sole cause of death.

Pandemic Science, Reducing death rates

Estimating the infection fatality ratio in England, (21 August, CEBM)





IFR falling over time

ONS, IFR, as of 4 August, 0.49%

(95% Credible interval, 0.36% to 0.67%)

MRC, IFR, as of 28 July, 0.30%

(MRC Credible interval. 0.22% to 0.4%)

23rd June, IFR, 0.69%

Charts



CDC deaths and comorbidities



Data to 22 August

Deaths = 161, 392

For 6% of the deaths

COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned

For deaths with comorbidities, 2.6 additional conditions or causes per death

Respiratory

Influenza and pneumonia 68, 004

Chronic lower respiratory 13, 780

Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, 21, 899

Respiratory failure, 54, 803

Respiratory arrest, 3, 282

Cardiovascular

Hypertension, 35, 272

Ischaemic heart disease, 18, 103

Cardiac arrythmia, 9, 821

Heart failure, 10, 562

Cerebrovascular disease, 7, 653

Metabolic


Sepsis, 14, 053

Malignancy 7, 415

Diabetes, 25, 936

Obesity, 5, 614

Alzheimers 5, 608

Other dementia, 18, 487

Renal failure, 13, 693

Others

Injury or poisoning, 5, 133

Others, 77, 990

Care homes in England had greatest increase in excess deaths at height of the COVID-19 pandemic (Stirling, 30 August)



Of all deaths registered as COVID-19 related in the UK

17,127 (31%) occurred within care homes

At least 21,775 (40%) were care home residents

Scotland

Highest proportion of care homes affected

Highest proportion of care home deaths attributed to COVID

Excess deaths in care homes

England, 79%

Wales, 66%

Scotland, 62%

NI, 46%

Professor David Bell

It will never be possible to unequivocally assign care home deaths during the pandemic to COVID-19 or other causes

Excess deaths data is next best thing

Smoking deaths

7, 000, 000 deaths per year

COVID deaths, 2020, 846, 971

England, 2017, 14.4% smokers

COVID deaths, 2020

Deaths, 41, 586 (UK) or 52, 091 (England and Wales, weeks 1 - 33)

Smoking deaths, 77, 800

16% of all deaths

Australia, 2015, 11.6% smokers

COVID deaths 652

Smoking deaths, 21, 000

12.5% of all deaths


US, 2018, 13.7% smokers


COVID deaths, 183, 068
Smoking, 480, 000 deaths per year
41,000 passive
16, 000, 000 living with a disease caused by smoking

CDC statistic on COVID-19 deaths does not mean only 6 percent died of the virus

The Centers for Disease Control said six percent of COVID-19 deaths were from COVID alone, but the claim that the virus killed only 9,000 Americans is incorrect. Most deaths from the coronavirus had causes in addition to COVID, not instead of it.

Online posts from Tennessee State Representatives Jeremy Faison and Jason Zachary point to incomplete information also amplified in a false claim, reportedly posted by President Donald Trump and removed by Twitter.

It cites data from the CDC that said six percent of COVID-19 deaths (or roughly 9,000 Americans) were from the virus alone, but downplays the full data which show the remaining deaths had contributing causes in addition to the coronavirus.

It comes as the United States surpasses six million coronavirus cases and 183,000 deaths, worse than many other nations.

The CDC website reads For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned. For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there were 2.6 additional conditions or causes per death.

This means 94 percent of people who died of the virus in the US had other conditions, which contributed to their death in addition to COVID-19.

This echoes information public health doctors have shared since the pandemic began that people with underlying health conditions are at higher risk of complications and death due to the coronavirus.

These include older people and people with chronic breathing problems, diabetes and high blood pressure, among other health conditions.

The CDC statistic does not mean that 94 percent of people listed as COVID-19 deaths are listed incorrectly. It means 94 percent of people died of COVID-19 and something else.
In Tennessee, state public health officials have been careful to only count people who die as consequence of the coronavirus in the state's death totals.
In a July Department of Health Webinar, the State Chief Medical Examiner said she is reviewing every death certificate that mentions COVID-19 to double check the difference between dying of the virus and dying with the virus.

If the COVID accelerated the demise, that should be coded as a COVID death, Dr. Adele Lewis said.

For example, people who die in car wrecks and test positive for the coronavirus will not count as COVID-19 deaths, she said.

The bottom line: Most deaths from the coronavirus had causes in addition to COVID, but not instead of it.

In posts online, Reps. Faison and Zachary disputed the characterization of their tweets in this article.

What you need to know about ‘excess deaths’ from COVID-19

Dr. Jen Ashton shares the CDC’S data on deaths that were previously misclassified, missed or undiagnosed.

US coronavirus cases near 6M with 183K dead, CDC says 94% of deaths had underlying conditions

Dr. Dara Kass reports on the latest data from the CDC on coronavirus cases and deaths in the United States.
#coronavirus #COVID-19 #

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CDC report on coronavirus deaths leads to misinformation on social media

A new report from the CDC is creating a lot of buzz on social media, with some people claiming the latest numbers show coronavirus isn't as deadly as initially thought.

CDC criticized for new coronavirus testing guidance

As first responders continue the fight on the front lines against the coronavirus, doctors say more testing is how we identify and stop the spread of the virus. So it was a shock to many when the CDC said some people exposed to COVID-19 may not need to be tested. Now, some of the nation's top health organizations are calling that recommendation inexplicable.

The CDC statistic on COVID-19 deaths does not mean only 6 percent died of the virus

The Centers for Disease Control said six percent of COVID-19 deaths were from COVID alone, but the claim that the virus killed only 9,000 Americans is incorrect. Most deaths from the coronavirus had causes in addition to COVID, not instead of it. 10News reporter Cole Sullivan has context that will help you avoid sharing false information. MORE:

McEnany Defends Trump’s Retweet Saying the CDC Is Lying to Hurt His Reelection Chances

White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany defended Trump’s retweet from game show host Chuck Woolery, who claimed the CDC is lying about the pandemic to hurt his reelection chances, saying, “When we use science, we have to use it in a way that is not political.”

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The spread of coronavirus fake news: What you shouldn’t fall for | Covid-19 Special

The coronavirus continues to spread, and so does fake news about it. No, garlic doesn’t help. Neither does alcohol. Here’s a look at the misinformation making the rounds and why you shouldn't believe a word of it.
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#Coronavirus #FakeNews #Desinformation
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Trump pushes CDC to lower coronavirus death counts

President Donald Trump and his aides are pushing the CDC to change its coronavirus death-toll methodology, according to The Daily Beast, which cited five unnamed sources saying that the White House had pushed for a different system that could produce a lower U.S. death figure. The sources said that Dr. Deborah Birx, the task force's response coordinator, had urged for two categories of deaths to be excluded: people who likely had, but weren't confirmed as having, COVID-19, and people who definitely had COVID-19 but died from unrelated causes or underlying conditions. Trump has publicly supported CDC's numbers, though other reports have described him as being suspicious that the figures are too high. However, Dr. Anthony S. Fauci said coronavirus deaths are undercounted.

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New CDC report and how it relates to COVID death toll l GMA

Dr. Ashish Jha, the dean of the Brown University School of Public Health, explains what we know about the coronavirus death toll and how likely those hospitalized are to die.

Coronavirus live updates:
Surgeon general says herd immunity could lead to deaths:

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#GMA #COVID19 #CDC #Pandemic #SecondWave

Did the CDC say only 6% of COVID-19 fatalities were caused directly by the virus?

The viral claim started circulating this weekend, so our VERIFY team checked it out.

CDC: Almost all COVID-19 deaths had underlying conditions

More than 25 million people have now been infected with COVID-19 worldwide. The CDC says almost all of the people who died from COVID-19 in the U.S. also had underlying health conditions.

Trust Index: CDC did NOT backpedal on death count related to COVID-19

The News4Jax Trust Index team is looking into a post that has been circulating on social media, claiming the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention quietly updated its COVID-19 death numbers to admit that only 6% of people in the United States whose deaths were attributed to COVID-19 actually died from the disease caused by the coronavirus.

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