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Tropical Weather Bulletin (Hurricane Humberto, Kiko) - September 17, 2019

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Tropical Weather Bulletin (Hurricane Humberto, Kiko) - September 17, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for September 17, 2019

Hurricane Kiko is barely holding on as a weak hurricane at this time, and will likely be downgraded later on.

Hurricane Humberto is intensifying and growing at this time, yet is still only a Category 1 storm despite an outstanding satellite appearance. The storm is likely to pass close to Bermuda later this week, possibly as a major hurricane. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for Bermuda.

Tropical Storm Peipah was finally declared post-tropical earlier today in the Western Pacific - its remnants are veering towards Japan.

Invest 97L could develop into a tropical cyclone in the Central Atlantic soon.

Invest 91E and 92E could both develop into tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific, and one of them could strike Mexico as a tropical storm later this week.

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Tropical Weather Bulletin (Humberto, Kiko, 17W) - September 15, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for September 15, 2019

Kiko has rapidly intensified today, and is now a Category 3 hurricane according to latest satellite estimates. The storm could intensify a little more tonight before weakening and lower sea surface temperatures take hold.

Tropical Storm Humberto, whilst located uncomfortably close to the northern Bahamas, has its worst effects displaced in the north and east, away from the islands that were ravaged by Dorian two weeks ago. The storm is likely to intensify this week and become a significant hurricane, before passing north of Bermuda.

Tropical Depression 17W has formed east of the Mariana islands today, and could become a brief tropical storm in the next two or three days as it moves through the island chain.

Invests 95W and 98W are continuing to progress towards the north, but chances are decreasing of cyclonic development.

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Tropical Weather Bulletin (Humberto, Kiko, Peipah) - September 16, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for September 16, 2019

Kiko peaked earlier today over open waters in the Eastern Pacific as a Category 4, and has now begun a weakening process.

Tropical Storm Humberto is easing away from the Bahamas and Florida, and will likely become a hurricane within hours as it begins to turn more decidedly eastwards. The storm will accelerate and could threaten Bermuda as a significant hurricane later this week.

Tropical Storm Peipah is located well towards the north of the Mariana Islands, although now has an exposed center with convection displaced over 200 miles to the south. However, this has triggered flood related warnings in Guam and Saipan.

Invests 95W and 98W are continuing to progress towards the north, but chances are greatly decreasing of cyclonic development.

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Tracking the tropics | Hurricane Kiko, Tropical storm Humberto and areas to watch

Watch our updates on Hurricane kiko in the pacific, and tropical storm Humberto and other areas to watch
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Tropical Weather Bulletin (TS Kiko, PTC 09L) - September 13, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for September 13, 2019

Tropical Storm Kiko has formed in the Eastern Pacific, and could develop into a hurricane as it moves out over the open warm waters.

Potential Tropical Cyclone 09L is located over the Southern Bahamas, and models call for this system to become a tropical cyclone before a potential landfall in eastern Florida. With tropical storm warnings already in effect for parts of the Bahamas - including those ravaged by Hurricane Dorian - those on the islands should take extra precautions.

Invest 95W and 98W are interacting with each other in the Western Pacific today, forming a much larger general area of low pressure. Both of these disturbances could form later on.

Invest 97W remains fairly far south, and could also develop into a tropical cyclone in the Western Pacific.

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Tropical Weather Updated, September 17 (Imelda,Humberto,Ten,Kiko,Mario,Lorena And 91C)

Imelda Moving Farther Inland
Humberto Expected To Bring Strong Winds To Bermuda
Ten Getting Better Organized
Kiko A Little Weaker
Mario Moving Northwestward
Lorena Changes Little In Strength
91C's chances will drop In A Few Days Due To Another Disturbance
(Text From The NHC)
(This Is Based Off Of Force Thirteens Tropical Weather Bulletin)
------------------------------
By Bandicam Screen Recorder (
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Tracking the tropics and the pacific | Hurricane Humberto, and all the tropical storms

Watch as we track Hurricane Humberto, tropical storms, Imelda, Kiko, Mario, Lorena, and tropical depression ten

Tropical Weather Bulletin (Typhoon Tapah, Jerry) - September 22, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for September 22, 2019

Typhoon Tapah is continuing towards South Korea and southwestern Japan, where it could deliver large amounts of rain this weekend and Monday.

Tropical Storm Jerry has weakened today in the Atlantic Ocean, and is expected to curve towards the north and could reintensify to hurricane status once again. The threat to Bermuda still exists next week.

Tropical Storm Lorena is currently located over the Gulf of California and is likely to make landfall in Mexico later today as it moves towards the northeast, and will quickly dissipate inland.

Tropical Storms Mario and Kiko are located over the open Eastern Pacific, and are likely to remain out to sea.

Tropical Depression 96A is currently located over the Arabian Sea, and could become a tropical storm this weekend or this week.

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Hurricane Humberto | Tropical Storm Imelda and more - Force Thirteen Live

Hurricane Humberto is a significant Category 2 storm at this time, and could impact Bermuda with strong tropical storm or hurricane force winds this week.

Tropical Storm Imelda formed today on the Texas coast, and is now moving inland. It could deliver significant amounts of rainfall to the area.

Tropical Depression Ten could become the next named storm as it heads towards the Lesser Antilles

Tropical Storm Lorena formed earlier today in the Eastern Pacific and will likely not threaten land

Tropical Storm Mario has triggered tropical storm warnings in parts of Mexico today.

Hurricane Kiko is weakening, but will persist for several days in the Eastern Pacific.

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Tuesday 17 Sept 2019 "Gulf system...Hurricane Humberto...Atlantic system" by Perspecta Weather

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9-17-19 Tropical Update - Hurricane Humberto, Tropical storm Imelda, Tropical Depression 10

9-17-19 Tropical Update - Hurricane Humberto, Tropical storm Imelda, Tropical Depression 10

Tropical Weather Bulletin (TS Kiko, TD 09L) - September 14, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for September 14, 2019

Tropical Storm Kiko remains weak in the Eastern Pacific, and computer models are backing off significant intensification as it proceeds towards the west.

Tropical Depression 09L could become a tropical storm tomorrow, and models have shifted east in the past day. Tropical Storm conditions are still possible in Florida, but the threat to the United States is decreasing. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for parts of the Bahamas - including those ravaged by Hurricane Dorian. Those on the islands should take extra precautions.

The trio of invests in the Western Pacific have become more discernible today, with 95W located out towards the western part of the ocean, Invest 97W southeast of Guam, and 98W near the Ogasawara islands of Japan. All three of these systems could develop into tropical cyclones at some point.

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Texas Flood Emergency | Hurricane Jerry |Tropical Storm Tapah - Force Thirteen Live

Hurricane Humberto - Category 3

Hurricane Jerry - Category 1

Tropical Storm Lorena

Tropical Storm Mario

Tropical Depression Imelda

Tropical Storm Kiko

Tropical Storm Tapah

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Tropical Weather Bulletin (Ex-Dorian, Faxai) - September 9, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for September 9, 2019

Ex-Hurricane Dorian is continuing to push through the eastern part of Atlantic Canada, and will be out over the far north Atlantic by morning.

Typhoon Faxai has weakened substantially since making landfall in Japan, moving within six miles of Tokyo overnight. The storm is now exiting the coast of Japan.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle still contains winds of 65mph, and is likely to turn towards the northeast where it will remain over open waters.

Invest 94L could become a tropical cyclone in the Central Atlantic, with the potential for further development later on.

Invest 95W could develop into a significant tropical cyclone in the Philippine Sea.

Invest 96W appears to be a Subtropical Depression in the East China Sea.

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Hurricane Humberto Bermuda Bound, New Tropical System Being Watched. Calm Weather East US All Week

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Hurricane Humberto is strengthening and it could reach category 3 status on Tuesday. It is moving toward Bermuda and watches may be necessary tonight or Tuesday. Another tropical wave is organizing in the Atlantic and will be monitored for signs of development. Otherwise the weather is in full September mode with mostly calm conditions all week long in the Eastern US while the dry weather comes to an end in parts of the Western half of the US.

Regarding decisions you may have to make in regards to the threat from severe weather threats, tropical storms or hurricanes.. Weather model maps shown are not to be used for making decisions regarding protecting life and property. Consult your local National Weather Service forecast office & local officials for specific information regarding severe weather threats for your area.

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Live Hurricane Humberto Discussion + Discussion on the Tropics

Hurricane Humberto continues to become better organized despite 20 kt wind-shear. What makes Humberto very interesting is that a strong upper-level anticyclonic cyclone is tandeming the hurricane. So the latest forecast scenario goes like this since this unique weather variable is nearly on top of the center, this will induce baro/cyclonic genesis which isn't used very much in the NHC discussions. Baro/cyclonic genesis means that do to an upper level low to the Northeast of Humberto, this will cause Humberto's wind field to rapidly expand with the surface low deepening with in the next 48 to 72 hr. For this reasoning, my intensity forecast has been nudged up to 105 kts (120 mph) as the Hurricane passes dangerously to Bermuda by Wednesday night.

The Hurricane has made a full 90-degree turn over the past 2 days as the cyclone round the western periphery axis ridge to the east. The turn to the ENE was done slightly sooner than previously forecasted and therefore the Hurricane could pass nearly 5 to 10 miles NW of Bermuda instead of 25 to 40 miles, Therefore Tropical storm watches have been issued for Bermuda and depending on exactly how much the Windfield will expand will depend if Hurricane Watches and Warnings will be issued by tomorrow. Humberto is moving at a heading of 75 degrees ENE at 8 mph according to recon fixes. This movement is slightly faster then what was first forecasted a couple of days ago. The Hurricane will continue on this heading and speed over the next couple of days before Humberto interacts with the cut-off low to the north which will have a critical role on how much wind-shear impacts the storm, when does the faster in forward speed occur, and will the upper-level low actually help deepen the cyclone. Right now my track forecast best agrees with the ECMWF and GFS model consensus aids and lies just inside of the 3-day cone of uncertainty provided from the NHC.

Significant impacts are likely on Bermuda such as High winds, heavy rainfall, and High wave action residents should start getting prepared as this may be a huge disaster.

I will likely be live streaming on the Live Bermuda Camera Wednesday night through Thursday. Stay tuned for that as it gets closer.

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Hurricane Humberto approaching Bermuda - 11pm EDT Sept 17

Hurricane Humberto remains fairly strong over the Western Atlantic, and could strike Bermuda with hurricane force winds tomorrow. The storm is likely near its peak at this time, and will start to weaken tomorrow as it moves towards the northeast.
Humberto also poses a tiny threat to Atlantic Canada, but no other locations are at risk at this time.

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Tropical Weather Bulletin (Lorenzo, Mitag) - October 1, 2019

Latest from the world of tropics for October 1, 2019

Hurricane Lorenzo has intensified this evening and is now once again a major hurricane with winds of 115mph, according to our latest satellite estimates. The storm could deliver winds of 100mph of more to the western Azores in the next 48 hours, where Hurricane Warnings are in effect. The storm will turn post-tropical soon afterwards and is likely to affect western Europe.

Typhoon Mitag (Philippine name Onyok) is located 100 miles east of Taizhou, China, and typhoon conditions are expected in the area today. The storm will move slowly at first, but speed up a little as it moves through South Korea on Wednesday and then onto northern Japan where it will likely turn post-tropical.

Tropical Storm Narda is venturing into the Gulf of California, and is likely to follow Lorena's path and move inland, potentially delivering flash flooding conditions.

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Hurricane Humberto Targets Bermuda, TD Ismelda landfalls TX, TD Ten Next Storm, Sep 17, 2019

Tropics are heating up big time. Major hurricane Humberto to take aim on Bermuda later tomorrow into Thursday AM. In addition, Tropical Storm Ismelda makes landfall in Texas dumping over 8 to 16 inches of rain on the Houston Galveston area on north and eastward. Watching Tropical Depression Ten which is likely to become our next named storm, and become a hurricane and approach just east of the Bahamas by early next week. Meanwhile high pressure builds across the Eastern US and Canada bringing late summer weather for the area. All the details in this busy quick-cast edition of Hurricane Northeastern!




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Update on Major Hurricane Kiko and Tropical Storm Humberto

Hurricane Kiko takes a blast in intensity and Humberto threatens Bermuda.

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